Forex lesson #1: Trading Forex and Being Right
Many Forex traders, and may be you as well, believe that the only way to succeed in Forex is to be right on most of trades. Right? Wrong!
| 90% losing trades and only 10% winners can easily be winning trading and, in fact, it is so for many successful Forex traders. |
How is it possible? Let me bring the numbers: 10 losses and 1 win. Bad? Not at all if those 10 losses had only -35 pips each (total is -350 pips) and 1 win had 355 pips profit.
We’ve even made +5 pips on top. Funny, hah? But reality is we managed to cover 10 losses with one shot. Well, that was only 10:1 ratio, let’s make it 9:2 and we’ve got -315 pips of total loss and over 700 pips win… That’s much better!
| It does not matter how many times you win, it does not matter how many times you lose… The size of the win and the size of the loss is what matters! |
“Keep your winners run…” You’ve probably heard this thousands of times, but may be couldn’t find the roots behind it. If you manage to create a system that will never stop you out before it finally IS the time to get out, you will be on the winning edge no matter how many times you were wrong before you caught your winning opportunity.
You see, my friend, good traders have learned to pick high probability trades and take only calculated risks. Nonetheless, often, way more often than you think, those good traders are beaten by the market… You would say, how do they make profits then?Making a copy for personal use or linking back? Be my guest! Stealing content? STOP immediately! If I find you, your site will be banned!
“Cut your losses short” – they use this 4 words rule and exit with minimum losses. Exiting in time is what makes profits!
Of course I would not leave you without trading tips today.
How to find out soon whether an open trade is a winner or a loser? If you are right on the position you take you will SEE that in the next 15 minutes or within maximum an hour since the trade was open. That’s right, no magic, no special tools, you will simply see that as +N amount of pips on your balance. But, if you took the wrong side of the market, same situation again - you will see you are wrong within the same short amount of time. So, if you happen to be wrong why wait and hope when it could be your best and last chance to cut losses short and accept being wrong?
Enter the market in the right time, or don’t enter at all! But if you take the risk, make sure you exit before it gets expensive for you to exit.
What to do if you are on the winning side? Hold onto your trade and allow it to deliver the highest profits possible. How to do that? Forget about finding the easy answer. The time you spend looking for it could be spent to learn tricks and master techniques by yourself. I’m also not going to tell you the solution, I’m sorry no charity here. Yes, I know I’m a tough teacher. The financial world is tough and so are people involved in it… I see someone leaving the class… Good luck, really, I warned you about my lessons. So everybody else, let’s continue.
So, how to allow your profits run? You should learn about Fibonacci trading, definitely study trend lines and learn about market support/resistance. That’s the core of the big trading, believe me, I’ve named you 3 most important studies.
The simplest form of holding to a position reasonably long without studying much is applying two EMAs on the chart: this could be 21 and 55 EMA, for example. Only the cross of those EMAs would warn a trader about closing a position. But, that’s, my friend, the simples way, if you study as if your financial success really depends on your knowledge, I’m sure you will find better trading approaches that will yield maximum gains.
Questions? Oh, I see one student there… Go ahead. The question is How to find such entries that within the next 15 min to 1 hour max a trader will know if he was right or wrong..?
Good question. That’s what good system and well thought trading approach is all about. If you enter a trade but you cannot learn soon what your trade will look like, study more and redefine your entry rules. Fibonacci levels, trend lines and support/resistance trading – these studies are the keys to entries with quick answers afterwards.
Another question? Go ahead. What if I’m a scalper?
Good question. If you are a scalper then forget about the rules above. For scalpers the number of wins versus the number of losses matters because paying spread and losing won’t make scalping in Forex profitable. Scalpers are a special breed of traders capable of winning more times than actually losing. The size of the win and the size of the loss vary very little in scalping, usually those are nearly equal.
No more questions? Thank you everybody, turn off the lights please, I prefer darkness.
**Forex Lord of Darkness**

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